Goodmanalytics - An analytical perspective on all things NBA
Monday, December 21, 2015
Sunday, November 1, 2015
Exploring Unusual Paths to the NBA
Building
off the first article I wrote for this blog, I give you the second
annual report on unusual paths to the NBA.
As of
opening day this year, 425 of a possible 450 roster spots (94.4%) went to
players who were either
a) 2015 Draft Picks
OR
b) Players who were on an NBA team roster at
some point during the 2014-15 regular season
This
94.4% figure is very similar figure to last season (94.8%). Out of the
remaining 25 roster spots 4 were left vacant, which leaves 21 players who
somehow managed to rise above the cream of the fringe crop and snag a roster
spot.
Using the same grouping that I used in last
year’s iteration of this article, let's take a look at how these 21 players got
to the point where they can officially call themselves NBA players:
Group 1: The Brad Miller All-Stars
(undrafted, from this past season, rookies from US colleges)
·
TJ McConnell, 76ers
o McConnell,
a 6’2’’ point guard who split his college career between Duquesne and Arizona,
was an AP Honorable Mention All-American in his senior season and helped lead
the Wildcats to two Elite 8 appearances. McConnell is already seeing playing
time – averaging 27 minutes per game through the 76ers first two games.
·
Cliff Alexander, Blazers
o A
top-five high school recruit, Alexander had a rocky freshman season at Kansas –
he battled injuries and inconsistent play, and was suspended in February for an
NCAA violation stemming from his mother accepting benefits from an agent. He
played for the Nets during the summer league and was signed by the Blazers. Fun
fact about Alexander – in his senior year of high school he won the Chicago
Public High School League championship, the title game was a quadruple overtime
win against Jahlil Okafor’s team.
·
Luis Montero, Blazers
o This
is a fascinating story. Montero, a native of the Dominican Republic, was unable
to qualify to play Division I basketball and ended up at Westchester Community
College in New York. He had one successful season there in 2013-14 but before
he was able to plant himself at a Division I college, it was discovered that
WCC had altered the transcripts of several of its players
who were attempting to land D1 scholarships. This led WCC to cancel its 2014-15
season, leaving Montero without a team and his ability to transfer to a D1
school significantly hampered. Montero spend the 2014-15 season individually
preparing for the draft, went undrafted, landed with Portland for the summer league
and landed a training camp invite + roster spot.
·
Duje Dukan, Kings
o Dukan did not start a
single game in his four years at Wisconsin but was an integral sixth man on
last season’s national runner-up Badger team. The son of former European basketball
star and Bulls scout Ivica Dukan, Duje
was a ballboy for the Bulls in his youth. Dukan’s father also has strong connections with Vlade Divac, which likely played a role in his landing with
the Kings.
·
Christian Wood, 76ers
o Wood
has bounced back from going
undrafted and landed with the 76ers after playing for Houston
in the summer league. Some analysts had Wood pegged as a first round pick but
questions about his subpar shot selection and possible lack of ability to put
on weight led him to slide out of the draft.
Group 2: The Luis Scola All-Stars (drafted
international players left to develop overseas, aka draft and stash players)
·
Walter Tavares, Hawks
o Last year the 7’3’’ Tavares became
the first player from Cape Verde (a small island off the coast of West Africa)
to be drafted into the NBA, and the Hawks signed him this offseason. The
23-year-old only started playing basketball at age 18 when he was discovered by
a German tourist to Cape Verde, and has spent the last five years playing in
Spain. Unfortunately, his first NBA pre-season involved this:
·
Nikola Jokic, Nuggets
o Jokic was drafted last year by the
Nuggets with the 41st pick. At just 20 years of age last season, he
won the Adriatic League MVP. Some scouts have compared him to a young Marc Gasol, and his stock has sky-rocketed since nearly falling out of the draft a year ago. He has already
scored 12 points and snagged 9 rebounds in just 22 minutes this season through
2 games.
·
Nemanja Bjelica,
Timberwolves
o Bjelica was a high 2nd round
pick by the Timberwolves in 2010 and has spent his time since playing in Spain
and Turkey. He was the Euroleague MVP in 2015 and
helped Fenerbache team to a 4th place
finish in the Euroleague. This past summer at Eurobasket, Bjelica dropped 24
points and 10 on a Spain team loaded with NBA talent. He’s the real deal, and
coupled with a budding young core in Minnesota, fans have a lot to be excited
about.
·
Raul Neto, Jazz
o Neto, a late 2nd round pick
of the Jazz in 2013, has been playing in Spain for the past four seasons. The
Brazilian has long been one of the best young international players, winning
the MVP of the EUROCAMP in 2013 and making the Brazilian national team for the
2012 Olympics as a 19-year-old. A brilliant facilitator and high energy
defender, his dad’s favorite players is apparently John Stockton, which makes
his place with the Jazz all the more exciting for him.
·
Tibor Pleiss, Jazz
o The German Pleiss
was drafted by the Nets in 2010 (2nd round) and since then his
rights have been shipped a few times – first to Atlanta, then Oklahoma City,
and then this past February to the Jazz in the Enes Kanter trade. Pleiss is a giant
at 7’3’’ and played last season in Spain, where he shot 62% from the floor and
86% from the free-throw line. His defense is suspect, but he should complement
players like Rudy Gobert quite nicely.
Group 3: The Alan Anderson All-Stars
(started in the NBA, went abroad, and now have made it back to the NBA)
·
Sasha Vujacic, Knicks
o With
the exception of a two game stint as part of a ten-day contract with the
Clippers during the 2013-14 season, the 31-year-old Vujacic
last played in the NBA during the 2010-11 season with the Nets (they were still
in New Jersey then). He has since split his time in Turkey, Italy and Spain. A
former Laker who won two championships in Phil Jackson’s triangle offense, Vujacic is a lights out shooter who should not only provide
much needed support in that area, but can serve as a mentor in helping his team
learn the triangle offense.
·
Sonny Weems, Suns
o The
29-year-old Weems played with the Nuggets and Raptors until 2011, then took his
talent overseas during the lockout (first player to leave the NBA during the
lockout) only to return this year with the Suns. He has spent the past four
seasons in Lithuania and Russia, the latter with powerhouse CSKA Moscow as the
highest paid player in Europe – Grantland did a great article on this team last year.
Seems like a good dude, I wish him the best!
Group 4: The Patrick Beverley All-Stars (college
players who were drafted, go play elsewhere first, then begin NBA career, aka
college draft and stash players)
·
Lamar Patterson,
Hawks
o Patterson was drafted in the 2nd
round by the Bucks in 2014 (traded to Atlanta on draft night) out of Pitt and
spent his first season as a professional in Turkey. So far so good for
Patterson – he is averaging 20 minutes and 5 points per game through the Hawks
first three games.
·
Sasha Kaun, Cavs
o The Cavs have owned the draft
rights to the 30-year-old Kaun since 2008 (he was
drafted by Seattle and his rights were immediately traded to the Cavs). Kaun was a fantastic four year player at Kansas where he
was part of the 2008 national championship team. He then played the first seven
seasons of his professional career in his home country of Russia with
powerhouse CSKA Moscow. He played for David Blatt on the Russian National Team,
where he was teammates with the player he currently backs up – Timofey Mozgov.
Fun fact – Kaun graduated with a degree in Computer
Science.
·
Josh Huestis, Oklahoma City Thunder
o Heustis was part of a very interesting
2014 draft night scenario with the Thunder in which he was essentially drafted
to be a domestic draft-and-stash player in the D-League for one season. Huestis was drafted with the 29th pick in the
first round, meaning he was required to be presented with a guaranteed contract
offer (although a team could rescind the rights to the player, which is what
happened to Travis Knight), but the Thunder worked out a deal with his agent
whereby he would be drafted with the stipulation that he not accept the offer
the Thunder were required to present to him and instead spend one season in the
D-League, allowing the Thunder some cap flexibility and not having the burden
of spending millions on a player who likely would play minimal minutes on a
contender. It’s not clear that Huestis would have
been drafted at all if not for this arrangement, which is why this scenario
worked for the Thunder because other players likely would not have agreed to
this stipulation.
Group 5: The Pablo Prigioni
All-Stars (undrafted, veteran international free agents)
· Cristiano Felicio,
Bulls
o
The 23-year-old
Brazilian played professionally in Brazil as a teenager, came to America at age
21 to attend a prep academy with the intention of becoming eligible to play
basketball at Oregon, but his professional experience made him ineligible. He
then returned to Brazil, went undrafted in 2014, and was picked up by the Bulls
for the 2015 summer league. A likely D-League candidate this year.
· Salah Mejri, Mavs
o
This past week the
29-year-old, 7’2’’ Mejri became the first Tunisian to
play in an NBA game. He started playing basketball at 20 in Tunisia before
embarking on a European career that took him to Belgium and Spain. After
winning the Euroleague with Real Madrid in 2015, Mejri was signed by the Mavs during the summer and beat out
veteran Samuel Dalembert for a roster spot. A mobile
and athletic big, the Mavs will be looking to him to provide a shot blocking
and rebounding presence.
· Marcelo Huertas,
Lakers
o
First – read this awesome story. The 32-year-old Huertas has been a
star in Europe, playing in both Spain and Italy, in addition to being a cornerstone
of the Brazilian national team. Signed by the Lakers this offseason, he has
shown some incredible flashes of playmaking ability and should provide some
good mentorship to Lakers rookie DeAngelo Russel.
· Boban Marjanovic, Spurs
o
Majranovic has long been known in NBA circles due to his extreme
measurements (7’4’’, 290 lbs, 7’8’’
wingspan) but concerns about his general health and lack of speed prevented him
from making the jump to the NBA. Last season, however, Marjanovic
blew up the Euroleague, averaging a double-double
(rare in the Euroleague) and was named All-Euroleague First Team. He signed with the Spurs this past
offseason, who I am sure will find good use for him.
Group 6: The Tim Legler All-Stars (undrafted
non-international rookies who spent at least their first season out of college
not in the NBA)
·
Willie Reed, Nets
o The
25-year-old Reed played two average seasons at St. Louis University before
being kicked out of school for a conduct violation. After going undrafted in
2011, he spent the past four season just on the cusp of making an NBA team –
playing all four years in the D-League and spending every pre-season in an NBA
training camp. The Nets poached him off of the Heat summer league team this
past season and signed him to a one-year contract. He injured himself in the
pre-season but still managed to survive final roster cuts.
·
Jonathon Simmons, Spurs
o The
26-year-old Simmons has taken anything but a conventional route to the NBA.
After playing at two junior colleges and one season at Houston, he went
undrafted and signed with the ABA, a low level American minor league where he
averaged 36 points per game. He then entered a tryout for the Austin Toros (the Spurs D-League team) where he actually had to
pay a $150 fee to secure his spot in the tryout. He then spent the past two
seasons with the Toros before being signed this
offseason to a contract by the Spurs.