One interesting thing I noticed when looking through
various players’ shot charts that I created using data from the NBA’s SportVU player
tracking cameras is that LaMarcus Aldridge takes a lot of shots from the left
side of the court relative to the right:
LaMarcus Aldridge shot chart. Bigger circles
indicate more shot attempts from that area
Regardless of whether it is preference or strategy as the
reason for this many shots from one side of the court, opposing teams can use
these tendencies in order to set their defensive schemes – for example, if a
team favors the right side of the court, you can place your best defenders on
that side of the zone. Over time, I would think that playing the odds like that
can only help and not hurt. It’s a bit
like counting cards in black-jack.
In order to assess this phenomenon, I looked at the data on
a league, team and player level (player
analysis coming next week). An
important metric that I will cite is the idea of an X-value. In terms of
coordinate geometry, if the court is an (X,Y) plane, an X value of 0 is the
center of the court, an X value of -25 (feet) is the far right sideline, and an
X value of 25 (feet) is the far left sideline.
League:
As a league, there is a slight favor towards the right side
of the court. The average x-axis value of the 95,419 field goals attempted
between 10/28/14 and 1/13/15 is -.003 feet, which on the surface I thought
indicated about an equal number of shots from the left and right side of the
court. But what is interesting is that when you break it down into percentage
of shots taken from each side of the court, it is a skewed towards the right:
FGA by Shot Location
Left
|
Center
|
Right
|
|
NBA (percentage)
|
40.7%
|
14.4%
|
44.9%
|
NBA (number)
|
38,845
|
13,762
|
42,812
|
Essentially we are dealing with a weighted average – in basketball
terms what this means is that while there are more shots coming from the right
side of the court than the left, the shots that are coming from the left side
of the court are coming from further to the left than the shots from the right
side of the court are to the right. And when we analyze the data further – it reveals
this to be exactly the case:
Pull to Side by Shot Location
Left
|
Center
|
Right
|
|
Average X value by side
|
9.75 feet
|
0 feet
|
-8.85 feet
|
So the conclusion here is that teams tend to favor the
right side of the court relative to the left, but take shots further from the
center on the left side of the court than the right. To some extent, this makes
sense to me – players like to drive with their dominant hand, which for most
players is their right, and thus you see not only more shots from that side,
but closer shots.
Team:
The data from the team level analysis shows that 22/30
teams favor their right relative to their left, some to an extreme degree –
such as the Nuggets. The teams that favor their left on average more heavily
favor that side than the teams that favor the right do in favoring the right
side. Below is a table of the data, and below that are a few sample team shot
charts to help visualize this skew:
Team
|
Left
|
Center
|
Right
|
Left/Right Delta
|
Favor
|
Denver Nuggets
|
35.83%
|
14.30%
|
49.87%
|
14.05%
|
Right
|
Dallas Mavericks
|
36.83%
|
14.89%
|
48.28%
|
11.46%
|
Right
|
Atlanta Hawks
|
37.28%
|
14.15%
|
48.57%
|
11.29%
|
Right
|
Brooklyn Nets
|
38.58%
|
12.34%
|
49.08%
|
10.50%
|
Right
|
San Antonio Spurs
|
38.98%
|
12.04%
|
48.98%
|
10.00%
|
Right
|
Washington Wizards
|
37.89%
|
14.99%
|
47.12%
|
9.22%
|
Right
|
New York Knicks
|
39.82%
|
11.28%
|
48.90%
|
9.08%
|
Right
|
Boston Celtics
|
38.18%
|
14.76%
|
47.06%
|
8.89%
|
Right
|
Miami Heat
|
40.61%
|
11.28%
|
48.11%
|
7.50%
|
Right
|
Indiana Pacers
|
40.70%
|
11.45%
|
47.84%
|
7.14%
|
Right
|
Utah Jazz
|
38.84%
|
15.18%
|
45.98%
|
7.14%
|
Right
|
Orlando Magic
|
38.94%
|
16.37%
|
44.69%
|
5.75%
|
Right
|
Memphis Grizzlies
|
40.06%
|
15.30%
|
44.64%
|
4.57%
|
Right
|
Phoenix Suns
|
41.58%
|
12.34%
|
46.09%
|
4.51%
|
Right
|
New Orleans Pelicans
|
40.98%
|
13.98%
|
45.04%
|
4.06%
|
Right
|
Golden State Warriors
|
40.72%
|
15.59%
|
43.69%
|
2.98%
|
Right
|
Chicago Bulls
|
42.67%
|
12.11%
|
45.22%
|
2.55%
|
Right
|
Charlotte Hornets
|
43.15%
|
11.33%
|
45.52%
|
2.36%
|
Right
|
Sacramento Kings
|
41.99%
|
13.85%
|
44.16%
|
2.17%
|
Right
|
Los Angeles Clippers
|
41.91%
|
14.15%
|
43.94%
|
2.03%
|
Right
|
Toronto Raptors
|
42.55%
|
12.88%
|
44.57%
|
2.03%
|
Right
|
Houston Rockets
|
41.89%
|
14.26%
|
43.85%
|
1.96%
|
Right
|
Los Angeles Lakers
|
43.24%
|
14.05%
|
42.71%
|
-0.53%
|
Left
|
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
42.54%
|
15.72%
|
41.74%
|
-0.80%
|
Left
|
Minnesota Timberwolves
|
42.29%
|
16.37%
|
41.34%
|
-0.95%
|
Left
|
Philadelphia 76ers
|
42.62%
|
16.09%
|
41.29%
|
-1.34%
|
Left
|
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
42.17%
|
18.13%
|
39.69%
|
-2.48%
|
Left
|
Detroit Pistons
|
40.60%
|
21.46%
|
37.94%
|
-2.66%
|
Left
|
Milwaukee Bucks
|
41.64%
|
20.41%
|
37.95%
|
-3.69%
|
Left
|
Portland Trail Blazers
|
46.03%
|
11.85%
|
42.11%
|
-3.92%
|
Left
|
It’s a bit hard to tell, but for the Nuggets it appears
that a fair amount of the skew towards the right comes in the paint in addition
to the right elbow region. For the Blazers, the skew towards the left appears
to be rooted in baseline shots and corner 3-pointers.
When you disaggregate the skew to each side by team, only
three teams (Kings, Suns, Rockets) shoot close towards the sideline on the
right than they do on the left.
Pull to Side by Shot Location
Team
|
Left
|
Right
|
Higher Absolute Value?
|
New Orleans Pelicans
|
8.81 Feet
|
-7.60 Feet
|
Left
|
Memphis Grizzlies
|
8.65 Feet
|
-7.85 Feet
|
Left
|
Philadelphia 76ers
|
8.88 Feet
|
-7.97 Feet
|
Left
|
Toronto Raptors
|
10.75 Feet
|
-8.08 Feet
|
Left
|
Minnesota Timberwolves
|
9.11 Feet
|
-8.14 Feet
|
Left
|
Oklahoma City Thunder
|
9.4 Feet
|
-8.16 Feet
|
Left
|
Chicago Bulls
|
9.11 Feet
|
-8.21 Feet
|
Left
|
Charlotte Hornets
|
9.26 Feet
|
-8.26 Feet
|
Left
|
Indiana Pacers
|
9.96 Feet
|
-8.27 Feet
|
Left
|
Boston Celtics
|
9.58 Feet
|
-8.33 Feet
|
Left
|
Brooklyn Nets
|
9.80 Feet
|
-8.36 Feet
|
Left
|
Sacramento Kings
|
8.32 Feet
|
-8.45 Feet
|
Right
|
Orlando Magic
|
8.65 Feet
|
-8.56 Feet
|
Left
|
Utah Jazz
|
9.41 Feet
|
-8.62 Feet
|
Left
|
Denver Nuggets
|
10.19 Feet
|
-8.71 Feet
|
Left
|
Dallas Mavericks
|
10.5 Feet
|
-8.71 Feet
|
Left
|
San Antonio Spurs
|
9.33 Feet
|
-8.72 Feet
|
Left
|
Washington Wizards
|
9.85 Feet
|
-8.92 Feet
|
Left
|
Atlanta Hawks
|
9.67 Feet
|
-9.1 Feet
|
Left
|
Milwaukee Bucks
|
10.41 Feet
|
-9.14 Feet
|
Left
|
Golden State Warriors
|
9.45 Feet
|
-9.15 Feet
|
Left
|
Los Angeles Lakers
|
9.38 Feet
|
-9.17 Feet
|
Left
|
Detroit Pistons
|
10.21 Feet
|
-9.6 Feet
|
Left
|
New York Knicks
|
10.69 Feet
|
-9.62 Feet
|
Left
|
Portland Trail Blazers
|
10.82 Feet
|
-9.64 Feet
|
Left
|
Miami Heat
|
10.94 Feet
|
-9.75 Feet
|
Left
|
Los Angeles Clippers
|
11.02 Feet
|
-9.8 Feet
|
Left
|
Cleveland Cavaliers
|
10.52 Feet
|
-9.85 Feet
|
Left
|
Phoenix Suns
|
9.65 Feet
|
-9.95 Feet
|
Right
|
Houston Rockets
|
9.96 Feet
|
-10.93 Feet
|
Right
|
New Orleans Pelicans
|
8.81 Feet
|
-7.6 Feet
|
Left
|
How does the right handed left handed player ratio affect the data?
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